Built 2026-09-03 03:31 UTC data 60s ago · nothing placed, nothing traded
8 strategies scored on 4,052 recorded signals, across ~51 independent 4h blocks (want 40+). Scoring many rule sets against one small sample guarantees one looks excellent by chance. Ranking below is for watching, not for acting: until the block count is high enough, the leader is whichever strategy was luckiest. Adding strategies makes this worse, never better.
Every experiment running
Strategy
Trades
Mean net
Median
Win%
lower_entry
2,077
-0.15%
-0.31%
46%
combined
788
-0.16%
-0.26%
46%
not_already_run
3,272
-0.52%
-0.57%
36%
baseline
3,532
-0.56%
-0.63%
36%
baseline_4h
3,854
-0.56%
-0.49%
30%
narrow_board
1,495
-0.60%
-0.58%
35%
operator_btc_rule
1,823
-0.92%
-1.00%
36%
operator_btc_strict
106
-1.74%
-2.15%
19%
What each one is
Strategy
Rule
baseline
What the system does today: every money-floor signal, bought at signal, held 24h. The control every other strategy must beat.
baseline_4h
Same, exited at 4h. Isolates holding period alone.
operator_btc_rule
Operator: do not trade while BTC is losing. Trailing 2h measure, held 24h.
operator_btc_strict
The operator's fuller rule: below +1% on the day is 'tough'. Stricter gate.
lower_entry
Rest a limit at the deeper of the pre-jump low or -2%. Tests entry price alone.
not_already_run
Skip coins already up >2% on the day. The pct_24h factor, which held on both the runner and the money test.
narrow_board
Only trade when under 40% of the board is green -- a mover in a thin tape is doing something of its own.
combined
Lower entry + not-already-run + narrow board. Every factor that survived its own test, together.
Net of 0.40% round-trip fees. Every figure is paper: no order has ever been placed on any venue.
Public Kraken market data only. No account balance, no position, no key material on this page. Rebuilt every minute; this page reloads itself every 60s.